Nobel work on framing and cognitive bias — same facts, different context, different conclusions.
Founder — edit Context matters as much as facts
Edit this beliefI believe that context matters as much as facts. Raw facts can mislead when stripped from timing, incentives, or surrounding conditions.
- Confidence
- High
- What could disprove it
- Show that context regularly makes reasoning less accurate instead of more accurate in high-stakes decisions.
- Current support
The same statistic can support opposite conclusions when context is hidden.
Most bad-faith arguments rely on selective framing instead of full reality.
Sample: Kahneman & Tversky framing experiments show identical expected-value choices flip when the same facts are presented as gains vs losses.
- Supporting resources
- Studies, data, books, and references that help express and test this belief.
Catalog of reasoning errors that often rely on stripping context from true premises.
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